Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.026119 0.028391 0.030767 0.033441 0.036366 0.039471 0.043019
2025-07-20 0.022329 0.025590 0.029200 0.033498 0.038485 0.044100 0.050914
2025-07-27 0.019968 0.023797 0.028215 0.033705 0.040362 0.048197 0.058154
2025-08-03 0.018021 0.022162 0.027103 0.033457 0.041444 0.051194 0.064064
2025-08-10 0.016751 0.021165 0.026587 0.033771 0.043089 0.054833 0.070860
2025-08-17 0.015381 0.019896 0.025586 0.033324 0.043640 0.057013 0.075814
2025-08-24 0.014166 0.018716 0.024581 0.032747 0.043910 0.058756 0.080199
2025-08-31 0.013218 0.017808 0.023848 0.032446 0.044473 0.060855 0.085125
2025-09-07 0.012404 0.017016 0.023205 0.032195 0.045047 0.062950 0.090112
2025-09-14 0.011711 0.016339 0.022665 0.032033 0.045701 0.065150 0.095334
2025-09-21 0.011016 0.015613 0.022006 0.031642 0.045977 0.066783 0.099771
2025-09-28 0.010558 0.015196 0.021752 0.031811 0.047057 0.069625 0.106167
2025-10-05 0.010041 0.014685 0.021364 0.031802 0.047936 0.072316 0.112680
2025-10-12 0.009587 0.014243 0.021057 0.031898 0.048988 0.075348 0.119968
2025-10-19 0.009198 0.013875 0.020833 0.032101 0.050203 0.078685 0.127955
2025-10-26 0.008734 0.013362 0.020355 0.031867 0.050692 0.080875 0.134162
2025-11-02 0.008433 0.013085 0.020222 0.032165 0.052046 0.084526 0.143061
2025-11-09 0.007991 0.012560 0.019667 0.031740 0.052170 0.086129 0.148498
2025-11-16 0.007556 0.012021 0.019061 0.031193 0.052045 0.087284 0.153194
2025-11-23 0.007206 0.011604 0.018629 0.030907 0.052338 0.089157 0.159281
2025-11-30 0.006891 0.011226 0.018240 0.030669 0.052693 0.091141 0.165681
2025-12-07 0.006613 0.010896 0.017913 0.030515 0.053179 0.093374 0.172674
2025-12-14 0.006312 0.010513 0.017477 0.030145 0.053249 0.094848 0.178299